Wednesday, June 25, 2014

What can I say other than, I was wrong....

By all the polling over the last week and the general rule of thumb that incumbents(especially the elderly and one who has a mistress on the side while his wife is dieing from dementia) who are drawn into runoffs more often than not lose because their supporters arent as motivated to turn out the vote as the challengers are. It sure looked like Chris McDaniel was headed for a gigantic upset of US Senator Thad Cochran(R) yesterday but everyone(including myself) were wrong. When you look at the numbers you find that more people actually voted in the runoff than they did in the primary. That is almost unheard of in todays campaigns. You also have to hand it to Cochran's campaign team, they saw a loophole in the Mississippi law where democrats could vote in the runoff and they took advantage of it in a big way and it probably saved them from certain defeat. McDaniel's supporters are crying foul over the high turnout in black neighborhoods for Cochran  that usually vote heavily democrat but it was all perfectly legal so in the words of Frank Corder from last night...they should just suck on it. Speaking of Mr Corder and the rest of his friends in Tupelo and the state...you want to talk about sore winners. To be such "great self proclaimed christians" they sure put on a show last night on TV and twitter. They might want to ask their friend in Baldwyn,  Mr Aldridge what bragging about how great of a christian they are gets you. But back to the Senate race....so where do we go from here. Well Thad Cochran will cruise to victory over Travis Childers(D-Booneville) in November. My guess is he'll serve about another two or three years and then resign and let Governor Bryant appoint Haley Barbour or Tate Reeves to the US Senate to replace him. As far as Chris McDaniel goes....well lets be honest theres no way in the world Governor Bryant will appoint him to the US Senate after all thats happened. He will continue to serve in the State Senate and who knows if Jim Hood runs for Governor next year as most believe he will, then dont be surprised if McDaniel doesnt jump into that race. As far as the Tea Party and their supporters go this morning....I know there are a lot of hurt and disappointed people this morning and rightfully so but we can all take some solace in the fact that what last night and the defeat of Eric Cantor two weeks ago proved is that you really never know for sure whats going to happen in an election and that is ultimately a good thing because it puts a scare into everyone in politics from the challengers to most importantly the incumbents.....

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