Saturday, January 22, 2011

The democrat collapse in Mississippi

Two more State Reps switched to the GOP this week in Mississippi which in turn knocked the once dominant democrat party majority now down to just a 69-53 margin in the Mississippi State House. A decade ago the democrats controlled around 95 seats in the state house. But that majority started to really slip eight years ago when nearly a dozen democrats switched prior to the filing deadline in 2003. The only democrat hope to saving their majority is the looming redistricting bill that they have to pass. The hope is that they will basically pass a plan that saves their majority in the house and then send it over to the state senate and let them pass a plan that will almost certainly create a dominant GOP majority for years to come there. Then the plan will come back to the house where they will have to vote on the new house,senate and congressional districts in one bill. A lot of the partisan democrats in the magnolia state will not enjoy what they see in the senate and congressional maps but they will have no choice if they want to save their shrinking house majority. Now that is their only hope. The problem with that plan from the democrats point of view is that there has been some rumblings around Mississippi that the GOP will just sit on their hands and not accept any so called "gerrymandered districts" that come out of the house. The GOP knows that the only way Speaker McCoy can save the democrats is through a new plan of "gerrymandered districts". If the GOP does that then the courts will basically end up drawing the new districts. That option doesnt favor the democrats either because the current districts are already gerrymandered to a certain extent to favor the democrats. As we saw in Georgia back in 2003, there's only so much political nonsense when it comes to redistricting that the courts will put up with before they swoop in and say enough is enough. In the end I fully expect the democrats to collapse in Mississippi this year and lose their house majority. Which in turn would leave Arkansas and Kentucky as the only states in the south where the GOP doesn't control the entire state legislature.

No comments: