Friday, July 11, 2008
Alabama run-off predictions
Alabama's run-off is this coming Tuesday so I think Ill make some predictions. There are only two congressional run-offs and both are on the GOP side. Wayne Parker will win the nod in the north Alabama race with relative ease. He's the son-in-law of former Texas Congressman Bill Archer(R). By the way there's a little bit of reverse psychology going on between Mr Parker and his democrat opponent already. Mr Parkers campaign signs are blue while Mr Griffiths signs are red. Down in the southeast part of Alabama, State Rep Jay Love and State Senator Harri Ann Smith have been going at it on the airwaves. But unless something shocking happens in the final days, Jay Love should win this race by a comfortable margin. For all you Tennessee readers, Harri Anne Smith had George Jones cut a radio ad for her last week. Mr Jones sounds odd in the add...he's either sick or very drunk....go too www.politicalparlor.net and scroll down a bit and listen to it. There's only one county race in north alabama worth noting and thats in Cullman County. The current county commission chairman Wiley Kitchens is being challenged by James Graves in the GOP primary. Mr Graves has been hitting Mr Kitchens pretty hard over water issues and a $10 million reserve fund. This race will probably be close but Ill go with Mr Graves on this one. Finally there's the race between Twinkle Cavanaugh and Matt Chancey for PSC Chairman. Ms Cavanaugh is the former State Chairman for the GOP and she has an ad up that featues Mike Huckabee endorsing her and talking about how she's pro life(Im not sure what abortion has to do with the Public Service Commission). Mr Chancey has a lot of grassroots supporters out there but he trailed Twinkle by double digits in last months primary and he's been drastically outspent so Im going to go with Twinkle on this one. If Twinkle wins it will guarantee that Alabama will have an all female PSC come January. The democrats have already selected former Lt Governor Lucy Baxley for this race, so whoever wins in November will join Jan Cook and Susan Parker on the three member PSC.